Kenya elections: Billed for 8th August, Kenya is going to yet another highly contested election which has already been preceeded by ethnic violence, and the ICC cases against sitting leaders. Even though the opposition is yet to pick a candidate, President Uhuru Kenyatta will likely face Raila Odinga, a longtime opposition figure who has been angling to become president for almost 20 years. Like previous elections in the past two decades, the fear of violence, ethnic polarization, and escalating political tensions looms large. Kenya walks a tight rope and depending on how the Independent Elections and Boundaries Commission conducts the election, might see it maintain its fragile democracy or slide into yet another gloomy post-election period.

Kenya is a powerful political and economic nation in Central and East Africa, a big trading partner with South Africa on the continent and a key player in AU. However Kenya and South Africa are far from the continent’s worst performers and trade between the two is worth 500 million euro. South Africa is Kenya’s fourth source of imports, and over 60 South African companies operate in Kenya. A peaceful election will ensure stability of the continent.

ODM leader Raila Odinga was named as the National Super Alliance flagbearer. Raila will face off President Uhuru Kenyatta of Jubilee with Kalonzo Musyoka as his running mate. NASA brings together Raila, Musalia Mudavadi (Amani), Kalonzo Musyoka (Wiper), Moses Wetang’ula (Ford Kenya) and Isaac Rutto (CCM). According to the poll, 49 per cent of the voters support Raila-Kalonzo leadership, while 55 per cent expected it. But fewer identified this pair as their preferred paired-choice rated at 34 per cent. Only seven per cent expected a Raila-Mudavadi leadership, with eight per cent preferring it.


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